It's
the mysterious world of day-trading. Average people making
extraordinary gains and losses in the stock market with just one
click of a button. Gregory Millman is author of the book,
"The Day Traders: The Untold Story of the Extreme Investors
and How They Changed Wall Street Forever." He uncovers how
day-trading really works, and puts it in historical context.
Here is a look at one portion of his book, which focuses on the
general principles of successful trading.
Principles of Successful Trading:
1. Study - the first discipline of trading. Beginning
day traders are usually advised to follow a few stocks closely,
understand them well and trade them continuously to that they
learn who the dominant market makers are and what they do; how
they react to changes in the S&P futures, the Dow, the
NASDAQ, and other major indices; and how fundamental news about
earnings, regulatory approvals, interest rates and the
like translates into the stock price.
2. Technical and Fundamental Analysis - Fundamental
facts are those that underlie and eventually determine prices.
They include supply, demand, economic conditions,
competitiveness, etc. Technical facts are price movements, seen
as an expression of market psychology. Technicians believe that
market prices move in repetitive patterns, a belief that implies
that the analyst who correctly identifies the pattern in which
prices are moving can accurately predict the next move.
3. Useful Practices -
a. Paper
Trading - Opponents of paper trading say that because the
paper trader is not risking real money, he or she does not learn
to cope with the gut-wrenching fear of loss that makes live
trading so challenging.
b. Defining
Risk Tolerance - Limiting risk means limiting potential
gains, but it also means limiting potential losses, and for
beginners, small gains are undoubtedly preferable to large
losses.
c. Loss
Control - With only a small amount of capital at risk, the
new trader should establish a stop-point loss on each trade and
make no exceptions or excuses about getting out of every trade
at every point.
d. Schedule
Homework - Every trader should develop a daily schedule that
allows at least an hour before the open or after the close of
the market for concentrated study.
e. Diary
- It is advisable to keep a trading diary, a personal
performance record that includes general observations on the
market, the thinking that led to each trade, an assessment of
how each trade worked, etc.
f. Managing
Expectations - All of this analysis and paperwork will take
much of the thrill out of trading. A good trader must be able to
look at the market conditions and decide where prices are going
without being influenced by hope or fear.
g. Managing
Profits - Holding winners is almost as important as cutting
losers. It makes more sense to take a small gain than to ride a
stock up only to ride it back down again. But if conditions
still favor being long, it makes more sense to stay with the
position until conditions justify selling then to make a small
profit even smaller by the amount of the sales commission.
Extreme Investing: Market Information
1. NASDAQ screens - offers several levels of detail
about stock trading:
a. Level I
- includes information about the company's name, stock symbol,
direction of the last price move, how far the stock has moved
during the day, the quantity of shares that changed hands at the
last sale, the high and low for the day, the volume of shares
traded at this pint in the day, the current best bid and offer
prices, and the previous day's closing price.
b. Level II
- more detailed than Level I, identifying every market maker and
ECN presently in the market with a bid or offer for the stock.
Each market maker or ECN is identified by an acronym. After the
acronym comes the market maker's or ECN's bid or offer price,
followed by an indication of the quantity desired or offered for
sale. NASDAQ Level II information is now widely available
through day-trading brokerage firms and online financial
information services.
The Trend is Your Friend, and Other Truisms of the
Day-Trading Life
1. The Trend is Your Friend - Higher highs and higher
lows define an up trend; lower lows and lower highs define a
down trend. Day traders seek to get into stocks on up trends
when the prices pull back and get out when they approach new
highs.
2. Get Out When You Can, Not When You Have To - Sell
out of the long position, or buy back the short, when the
opportunity still looks good enough that someone is willing to
take the side you are leaving. Don't wait until you see clearly
that there is no money to be made in the stock. You won't be the
only one to notice.
3. Don't Swing For The Fences - Small, consistent
profits add up faster than big, occasional ones.
4. The Ticker is Your Music - Don't dance when the
music isn't playing; don't try to trade when the market isn't
moving.
5. Know Where They've Been to Know Where They're Going
- Pay close attention to where stocks have been trading within
the past five minutes, the past hour, the past day, week, month,
six months. Know them cold.
6. The Market Always Tries to Close a Gap - Expect
prices to move in the opposite direction - up when they've
gapped down, down when they've gapped up.
7. Buy Stocks That are Strong in a Weak Market; Short
Stocks That Are Weak in a Strong Market - They'll be the
first to move sharply when the market turns.
8. The Best Place to Be a Buyer is on a Low or a Pullback
- Even when stocks are going up, there will often be a chance to
buy at a relatively good price.
9. Follow the Path of Least Resistance - Don't buck
the market.
10. Trade the Truth - Base trades on what is
happening, not on what you wish or hope.
11. Know When to Get Small - When things are going
badly, trade less volume and fewer positions.
12. Ease In, and Ease Out - Going slowly and building
positions gradually will naturally impose a discipline tending
to keep you small when things are bad.
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